first crisis grade incompleate

I am often accused of being a black and white thinker always leaving out the grey that the rest of the world sees on most every issue. Most of the time that's true because I frankly have very definite views on a variety of subjects, one area of policy where this is not true is Egypt. There are so many schools of thought about Egypt that all I will do here is give you the arguments as they appear and then give you a brief synopsis of what I think will happen.
The first school of thought shared by many liberals and conservatives is Wow this is wonderful a tyrant is gone, we all love this moment, this is just like when Saddam was deposed with people dancing in the street. There is another faction of primarily conservatives people along with some liberals that say that Mubarak was the best we could hope for and now we in trouble because odds are the Muslim brotherhood which if true would make an enemy out of an ally. There are also some on both sides who say get out of there no money no aid it's none of our concern. My opinion is that if we use our soft power to give financial backing to the candidates that are pro western and try to keep Egypt a one of our best Allies in the middle east. Whoever assumes power we can not let Egypt disintegrate into a place that is ripe for government sponsered terrorism de facto or otherwise.
President Obama did o.k although he did vacillate between encouraging the protesters and sticking with president muberick. The state department did not do him any favors there are people employed by our government that are payed to anticipate every outcome of any international incident that may arise, they must have been on vacation. The president looked foolish one day sending signals that he supported the protesters then pulling back then telling him to leave. It's hard to fault him totally because the situation was rapidly changing, however a President who was more experienced with foreign policy would handled it better (George h. walker Bush) former head of the CIA comes to mind).
No one knows how this will turn out this is the President's first international test his grade is in- complete lets hope it turns out that the new President of Egypt keep a real commitment to peace with Israel his grade will be at least a B .